3 to 1 ratio is not good in a vacuum, but with the Shalit deal as precedent, it's substantially better than 1027 to 1; 2011, Shalit, an IDF soldier captured by Hamas, was released by Hamas in exchange
for 1,027 prisoners, 280 sentenced to life in prison for committing terrorist attacks against Israelis. One of those prisoners was Yahya Sinwar, the current leader of HAMAS in GAZA (SCHACHTEL)
In 2011, Shalit, an IDF soldier captured by Hamas, was released by Hamas in exchange for 1,027 prisoners, 280 of whom had been sentenced to life in prison for committing terrorist attacks against Israelis. One of those Palestinian prisoners was Yahya Sinwar, the current leader of Hamas in Gaza, and enemy number one for the IDF. By any metric, the deal has had devastating ramifications for Israel’s sovereignty and security
The disastrous Shalit deal, which was backed by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, created great incentives for Hamas to capture Israeli civilians, and it has come back to haunt Israel time and again, especially during the October 7 Hamas massacre in southern Israel.
Nonetheless, with the Shalit deal being the old baseline, Israel has a much improved structure with these reported numbers. Netanyahu, who again is serving as prime minister, reportedly supports this deal too.
Israel achieved this improved negotiating position through its aggressive military operation in Gaza. Instead of “mowing the grass,” the Israelis are finally playing to win, and Hamas commanders know it. This has forced Hamas leaders to endlessly beg for a ceasefire and negotiate against itself with prisoner exchange offers.
A 3 to 1 ratio is not good in a vacuum, but with the Shalit deal as precedent, it's substantially better than 1027 to 1.
If Hamas follows through on these terms (a BIG if), I would consider this a worthy deal for Israel to accept. It resets the awful baseline to a much better standard for current and future negotiations, and delivers a much-needed morale boost to the Israeli people.
On the other hand, there are many risks for Israel in the event that they move forward with this deal. First, it will certainly disrupt the momentum and success they’ve had in Gaza, which has seen a remarkably lopsided military casualty rate in favor of the Israeli army. Second, as many commentators have already warned, it creates an incentive for both Hamas and pro-Hamas entities to find ways to continue capturing hostages and stalling out Israel’s operation.
Nonetheless, Israel achieved these better terms through a course change from previous military strategy. Most notably, it was their vigorous counter terrorist operation in Gaza that made Hamas blink.
There are many reasons for both optimism and pessimism surrounding the deal. But it may very well be the best chance the Israelis have to secure the freedom of a large batch of their civilians. Within the political framework that Israel has imposed upon itself, getting these hostages freed and agreeing to this deal seems like the right play.
Children kidnapped by HAMAS at present
THE HAMAS USED THIS ATTACK AS AN EXTORTION METHOD TO RELEASE THEIR MILITANTS
THE ISRAELIS HAVE SHOWEN TOO MUCH HUMANITY TOWARDS THESE FUCKING MONGRELS
IF NON WERE ALIVE -- THERE WOULD NOT HAVE BEEN AN ATTACK ON OCT7/2023
In my opinion Israel should have told Egypt, Iran, Jordan, Saudi Arabia &etc to take all the Palestinians or they will be rounded up into camps or killed on refusal. Netanyahu caved to American financial pressure to release murdering terrorists.