the first dose of ChAdOx1 and BNT162b2 (Pfizer) vaccines and the first and second doses of the mRNA-1273 (Moderna) vaccine over the 1-28 days postvaccination period; re-post
PROOF THAT THE COSTLY LOCKDOWNS AND THE TOXIC VACCINES WERE ENORMOUSLY DESTRUCTIVE FOR ALBERTA
There was no major increase in Total Deaths in Alberta to 1Jul2020 (Covid-19 was a mild virus, similar in mortality to other winter flu’s).
The General Lockdowns that destroyed much of our economy were enacted in mid-Mar2020 – costly, harmful and never justified
The big increase in Total Deaths in Alberta happened by 1Jul2021 - caused by the toxic Covid-19 “vaccines”, not the virus.
The costly, toxic, ineffective Covid-19 “vaccines” were deployed in Alberta starting in Jan2021 – it was, in effect, medical murder for profit.
I correctly called both these major flaws in our government’s gross mismanagement of the Covid-19 debacle two and three years ago.
THERE WAS NO INCREASE IN TOTAL ALBERTA DEATHS FOR AGES 1-64 to 1H2020 (Covid-19 was a relatively mild virus, especially for the young);
THERE WAS A MODERATE INCREASE IN TOTAL ALBERTA DEATHS FOR AGES 65+ TO 1H2020 (the virus was only dangerous to the elderly and infirm).
I analysed the Covid-19 data in Feb2020 and on 21Mar2020 I published the following correct analysis – NO GENERAL LOCKDOWNS!:
“LET’S CONSIDER AN ALTERNATIVE APPROACH:
Isolate people over sixty-five and those with poor immune systems and return to business-as-usual for people under sixty-five.
This will allow “herd immunity” to develop much sooner and older people will thus be more protected AND THE ECONOMY WON’T CRASH.”
Six months later on 4Oct2020, world-class physicians and researchers made the same recommendation in their Great Barrington Declaration.
THERE WAS A LARGE INCREASE IN TOTAL DEATHS FOR ALL AGES AFTER THE TOXIC COVID-19 INJECTIONS WERE DEPLOYED IN EARLY 2021 – DEATHS CAUSED BY THE “VACCINES”.
On 8Jan2021 I wrote to every Alberta MLA and many federal and civic politicians the following strong recommendation, which has proved entirely correct:
“The Covid-19 vaccine developments were rushed and are not proven safe or effective and should NOT be taken, especially by the low-risk population - those under-65 or recovered from Covid-19. The two experimental Covid-19 vaccines that contain mRNA (Pfizer and Moderna) are especially risky – due to unknown future side-effects, the risk-to-reward is far too high for the low-risk group.”
Both the costly, harmful General Lockdowns and the costly, ineffective and deadly Covid-19 “Vaccines” were extremely ill-advised, dystopian errors that caused enormous harm and provided no net benefit to Albertans. Billions of dollars were squandered and many thousands of Albertans’ livelihoods and lives were destroyed.
Hi Paul Alexander - HERE IS AN IMPORTANT ISSUE THAT I AM ASKING YOU TO SUPPORT - A “CURE” FOR COVID-19!
We need to implement a simple, affordable effective ways to SAVE LIVES of the vaxxed.
I took my flu shot in Fall 2019 but I identified the Covid-19 Lockdown scam in Jan2020 and published in Mar2020, six months before the identical Great Barrington Declaration. I am Covid-19 Unvaxxed.
I published in my recent FDA presentation in which I identified what I believe to be THE BEST COVID-19 CURE AND VAXX-DETOXIFIER for the general populace:
“MAKE INEXPENSIVE, VOLUNTARY, OVER-THE-COUNTER “IVERMECTIN PLUS” PACKAGES WIDELY AVAILABLE FOR TREATMENT OF THE COVID ILLNESS AND THE VAXX-INJURED.”
Cost for a 7-day package would be about ONE DOLLAR!
Typically cures cases of Covid-19 in (less than) one 7-day package.
Helps rid the body of the toxic "vaccines" with several seven-day packages.
I AM ASKING FOR YOUR HELP TO PROMOTE THIS LOW-RISK, HIGH-REWARD SOLUTION TO THE COVID-19 SCAM.
We should ASSUME that every vaxxed person is vaxx-injured, +/-. It may be just a matter of time for them…
WITH THE CORRECT TREATMENT, WE CAN SAVE MILLIONS OF LIVES!
I presented 26Jan2023 to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) “Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee”
There were two conversations – the vaxx-injured want the toxic-and-ineffective Covid-19 vaxxes stopped now; the drug companies and the FDA Committee seemed utterly deaf to those concerns and just want to peddle more ineffective-and-toxic vaccines. Big Pharma owns the FDA.
Here are my slides (augmented). Later, we need Nuremberg 2.0!
Sept2019 – Took my annual flu shot (for the last time).
Jan 2020 - Studied Covid-19 full-time for 3 years since Jan2020.
29Jan2020 - Cancelled my 4Feb flight to Thailand via China due to early news of Covid-19.
Feb2020 – Identified the Covid-19 “pandemic” as a scam based on credible foreign data.
20Mar2020 – Learned that our Alberta hospitals were EMPTY and decided to publish. The feared "tsunami of Covid patients" never arrived.
21Mar2020 - Published that the Lockdowns were not justified and would be net harmful. No rational, informed person disputes that fact now.
4Oct2020 – Six months later world experts published identical conclusions in their Great Barrington Declaration.
8Jan2021 – Advised my governments to NOT release the dangerous, toxic Covid-19 injections. (My e-friend Reid Sheftall reviewed before sending.) No rational, informed person disputes that fact now.
The most credible senior physicians want to end these toxic injections.
WHY WAS THIS COVID-19 “PANDEMIC” A SCAM?
Data showed the virus was only fatal to the very elderly and infirm – not younger people. The full-population lockdowns were never justified.
No significant “Excess Deaths” in Alberta or Canada in the 12 months ending 1Jul2020. No Excess Deaths means no serious pandemic.
Hype was identical to the Climate (CAGW - Catastrophic Manmade Global Warming) scam.
CAGW scam was proved false in 1990, 2008 & 2013 – CO2 changes LAG temperature changes. "The future cannot cause the past."
The same “usual suspects“ promoted both the Climate and Covid scams and linked them. "To solve Covid must also solve Climate. Woke Nonsense!
More Scams: PCR tests over-run to push false positives; Ivermectin was banned, a criminal act; “Vaccines” caused the variants (Darwin); etc.
Both the Covid-19 Lockdowns and “Vaccines” were ineffective, hugely harmful and too often fatal.
NEXT STEPS NEEDED TO REPAIR THIS DISASTER:
Stop ALL Covid-19 injections immediately; DO NO MORE HARM!
Make available the best medical treatment to reduce harm to the vaxxed;
MAKE INEXPENSIVE, VOLUNTARY, OVER-THE-COUNTER “IVERMECTIN PLUS” PACKAGES WIDELY AVAILABLE FOR TREATMENT OF THE COVID ILLNESS AND THE VAXX-INJURED.
Reinstate and compensate the un-vaxxed who were dismissed from their employment.
Reinstate those who were persecuted because they spoke out against the Covid-19 fraud.
As requested, I am sending a long email within the hour to your yahoo address.
Regards, Allan MacRae in Calgary
SCIENTIFIC COMPETENCE – THE ABILITY TO CORRECTLY PREDICT
Allan MacRae, October 20, 2021. Updated February 5, 2023
“The ability to correctly predict is the best objective measure of scientific and technical competence.”
Our scientific predictions on both Climate and Covid are infinitely more accurate than the mainstream narratives, which have been false and baselessly alarmist to date
Remember when Trump said covid would just go away. In Papua New Guinea, right next to Australia, it virtually has, or has. Jab rates were super low.. Same in a lot of parts of Africa and the Caribbean. If Trump had not developed the jabs, and if Biden had not pushed them, the US would probably have become covid-free a long time ago.
"If Trump had not developed the jabs, and if Biden had not pushed them, the US would probably have become covid-free a long time ago."
Yes, probably Covid would have been gone by Spring 2020 or Spring 2021 due to natural immunity.
I sent this recently to our idiot/corrupt politicians and "bought" media:
"If we had treated COVID-19 like a normal flu with no lockdowns and no “vaccines”, like I recommended in March 2020, the Covid-19 virus would be extinct by now. Humanity would have developed herd immunity, as it has to multitudes of previous viruses and the alleged Covid-19 “crisis” would have ended months ago.
Competent epidemiologists have stated that you NEVER vaccinate into an epidemic, because the vaccines encourage the evolution of the variants – that is basic Darwinian biology. As long as we continue to use the Covid-19 vaccines, the virus will mutate and survive. Neither the Covid-19 lockdowns nor the “vaccines” were ever justified – they were a corrupt public health disaster and the most costly criminal medical malfeasance in human history."
Check out Kyle Beattie at Uni of Alberta. He did the big data analysis of jabs and infections in 145 countries. Everywhere that jabs were rolled out, infections skyrocketed. If you don't catch covid, you can't die from it. In countries that didn't roll out jabs, covid has now almost disappeared or has disappeared.
Thank you Awake - an excellent paper! I shall cite it in my correspondence with our governments and "bought" media. Doubt they will understand it...
Total All-cause Deaths is the best stat to use because much of the rest of the Covid-19 data is misleading and corrupted.
It is more difficult to falsify deaths - it's either a "0" or a "1". [ Be a "1"! ]
Case Numbers, Covid Deaths etc are entirely unreliable and politically manipulated - not to be trusted.
"Worldwide Bayesian Causal Impact Analysis of Vaccine Administration on Deaths and Cases Associated with COVID-19: A BigData Analysis of 145 Countries"
• November 2021
DOI:10.13140/RG.2.2.34214.65605
Authors:
Kyle Beattie University of Alberta
(PDF) Worldwide Bayesian Causal Impact Analysis of Vaccine Administration on Deaths and Cases Associated with COVID-19: A BigData Analysis of 145 Countries (researchgate.net)
After eliminating all results from countries with p > 0.05, there were 128 countries for y1 and 103 countries for y2 to analyze in this fashion, comprising 145 unique countries in total (avg. p < 0.004). Results indicate that the treatment (vaccine administration) has a strong and statistically significant propensity to causally increase the values in either y1 or y2 over and above what would have been expected with no treatment. y1 showed an increase/decrease ratio of (+115/-13), which means 89.84% of statistically significant countries showed an increase in total deaths per million associated with COVID-19 due directly to the causal impact of treatment initiation. y2 showed an increase/decrease ratio of (+105/-16) which means 86.78% of statistically significant countries showed an increase in total cases per million of COVID-19 due directly to the causal impact of treatment initiation. Causal impacts of the treatment on y1 ranges from -19% to +19015% with an average causal impact of +463.13%. Causal impacts of the treatment on y2 ranges from -46% to +12240% with an average causal impact of +260.88%.
…
The statistically significant and overwhelmingly positive causal impact after vaccine deployment on the dependent variables total deaths and total cases per million should be highly worrisome for policy makers. They indicate a marked increase in both COVID-19 related cases and death due directly to a vaccine deployment that was originally sold to the public as the “key to gain back our freedoms.” The effect of vaccines on total cases per million and its low positive association with total vaccinations per hundred signifies a limited impact of vaccines on lowering COVID-19 associated cases. These results should encourage local policy makers to make policy decisions based on data, not narrative, and based on local conditions, not global or national mandates. These results should also encourage policy makers to begin looking for other avenues out of the pandemic aside from mass vaccination campaigns.
It is, in my view, misguided to attribute the evident disasters of lockdowns, masking, 'social' distancing and 'vaccines' to either incompetence or poor judgement. The reasons for all of the above never had anything to do with public health. Lockdowns were imposed to trash the failing economic system. Enforced distancing and social isolation were to stifle interpersonal communication, in an attempt to render government and corporate media the only available sources of information. The purpose of the 'vaccines' is even more sinister: to kill or disable. Once the presence of 'malice aforethought' is accepted as true, the pieces of this ghastly puzzle fall logically, and horrifically, into place.
No argument here Dr S - I described facts, not motive. No individual or group could be this obtuse, this wrong for this long - there was clear intent to make money and indifference or intent to do harm. Nuremberg 2.0! The same thugs pushed the Covid and Climate scams.
Here is the Global Warming Alarmists’ dirty little secret, that they've been trying to hide for 33 years:
The CAGW hypo was proved false by Kuo et al in the journal Nature in 1990, who proved that CO2 changes happen after (lag) temperature changes.... That scientific fact proved that increasing atmospheric CO2 cannot significantly drive temperature, because THE FUTURE CANNOT CAUSE THE PAST.
Kuo 1990, MacRae 2008 and Humlum 2013 were all swept under the rug.
More:
THE ABYSMAL FAILURE OF THE GLOBAL WARMING ALARMISTS' PREDICTIVE TRACK RECORD. ”THE LEFT LIES ABOUT EVERYTHING!"
“Rode and Fischbeck, professor of Social & Decision Sciences and Engineering & Public Policy, collected 79 predictions of climate-caused apocalypse going back to the first Earth Day in 1970. With the passage of time, many of these forecasts have since expired; the dates have come and gone uneventfully. In fact, 48 (61%) of the predictions have already expired as of the end of 2020.”
For 60:40 predictions, the odds of being this wrong are 1 in 13 quintillion; for 70:30 predictions, the odds are 1 in 13 septillion. It's not just climate scientists being randomly mistaken - they must have known they were not telling the truth.
SCIENTIFIC COMPETENCE – THE ABILITY TO CORRECTLY PREDICT
Allan MacRae, October 20, 2021. Updated February 5, 2023
“The ability to correctly predict is the best objective measure of scientific and technical competence.”
Our scientific predictions on both Climate and Covid are infinitely more accurate than the mainstream narratives, which have been false and baselessly alarmist to date.
“Global warming alarmism, which falsely assumes that increasing atmospheric CO2 causes catastrophic global warming, is disproved – essentially, it assumes that the future is causing the past.”
dCO2/dt changes ~contemporaneously with temperature changes, but its integral CO2 changes do NOT lead, they LAG temperature changes in time.
The sequence is, from the above paper:
6. The sequence is Nino34 Area SST warms, seawater evaporates, Tropical atmospheric humidity increases, Tropical atmospheric temperature warms, Global atmospheric temperature warms, atmospheric CO2 increases (Figs.6a and 6b).
Other factors such as fossil fuel combustion, deforestation, etc. can also cause significant increases in atmospheric CO2. However, global temperature drives CO2 much more than CO2 drives temperature.
Fig.6a – Nino34 Area SST warms, seawater evaporates, Tropical atmospheric humidity (offset) increases, Tropical atmospheric temperature warms…
Fig.6b …and UAH LT Tropics Atmospheric Temperature leads UAH LT Global Atmospheric Temperature, which leads changes in Atmospheric CO2.
The above sequence is an absolute disproof of the phony CAGW hypothesis, which ASSUMES that atmospheric CO2 drives global temperature - BUT the future (CO2 change) cannot cause the past (Atmospheric Temperature change).
The integral of dCO2/dt is CO2 change and CO2 changes lag temperature changes by ~~9 months in the modern data record.
In 2019 I explained why the lag is ~~9 months – the integral (CO2 change) lags its derivative dCO2/dt by ¼ cycle, and that cycle is the ~~36 month cycle of Pacific oceanic temperature changes.
This observation is an absolute disproof of the CAGW/Climate nonsense. "The future cannot cause the past."
Have a couple people arguing to me this article favors vaccination given authors statements in conclusions about myocarditis from Covid infection. Any help with a counter appreciated.
PROOF THAT THE COSTLY LOCKDOWNS AND THE TOXIC VACCINES WERE ENORMOUSLY DESTRUCTIVE FOR ALBERTA
There was no major increase in Total Deaths in Alberta to 1Jul2020 (Covid-19 was a mild virus, similar in mortality to other winter flu’s).
The General Lockdowns that destroyed much of our economy were enacted in mid-Mar2020 – costly, harmful and never justified
The big increase in Total Deaths in Alberta happened by 1Jul2021 - caused by the toxic Covid-19 “vaccines”, not the virus.
The costly, toxic, ineffective Covid-19 “vaccines” were deployed in Alberta starting in Jan2021 – it was, in effect, medical murder for profit.
I correctly called both these major flaws in our government’s gross mismanagement of the Covid-19 debacle two and three years ago.
THERE WAS NO INCREASE IN TOTAL ALBERTA DEATHS FOR AGES 1-64 to 1H2020 (Covid-19 was a relatively mild virus, especially for the young);
THERE WAS A MODERATE INCREASE IN TOTAL ALBERTA DEATHS FOR AGES 65+ TO 1H2020 (the virus was only dangerous to the elderly and infirm).
I analysed the Covid-19 data in Feb2020 and on 21Mar2020 I published the following correct analysis – NO GENERAL LOCKDOWNS!:
“LET’S CONSIDER AN ALTERNATIVE APPROACH:
Isolate people over sixty-five and those with poor immune systems and return to business-as-usual for people under sixty-five.
This will allow “herd immunity” to develop much sooner and older people will thus be more protected AND THE ECONOMY WON’T CRASH.”
Six months later on 4Oct2020, world-class physicians and researchers made the same recommendation in their Great Barrington Declaration.
THERE WAS A LARGE INCREASE IN TOTAL DEATHS FOR ALL AGES AFTER THE TOXIC COVID-19 INJECTIONS WERE DEPLOYED IN EARLY 2021 – DEATHS CAUSED BY THE “VACCINES”.
On 8Jan2021 I wrote to every Alberta MLA and many federal and civic politicians the following strong recommendation, which has proved entirely correct:
“The Covid-19 vaccine developments were rushed and are not proven safe or effective and should NOT be taken, especially by the low-risk population - those under-65 or recovered from Covid-19. The two experimental Covid-19 vaccines that contain mRNA (Pfizer and Moderna) are especially risky – due to unknown future side-effects, the risk-to-reward is far too high for the low-risk group.”
Both the costly, harmful General Lockdowns and the costly, ineffective and deadly Covid-19 “Vaccines” were extremely ill-advised, dystopian errors that caused enormous harm and provided no net benefit to Albertans. Billions of dollars were squandered and many thousands of Albertans’ livelihoods and lives were destroyed.
write me at my email...elias email...not substack
https://palexander.substack.com/p/mrna-2-issues-i-those-who-decided/comment/12408554
Hi Paul Alexander - HERE IS AN IMPORTANT ISSUE THAT I AM ASKING YOU TO SUPPORT - A “CURE” FOR COVID-19!
We need to implement a simple, affordable effective ways to SAVE LIVES of the vaxxed.
I took my flu shot in Fall 2019 but I identified the Covid-19 Lockdown scam in Jan2020 and published in Mar2020, six months before the identical Great Barrington Declaration. I am Covid-19 Unvaxxed.
I published in my recent FDA presentation in which I identified what I believe to be THE BEST COVID-19 CURE AND VAXX-DETOXIFIER for the general populace:
“MAKE INEXPENSIVE, VOLUNTARY, OVER-THE-COUNTER “IVERMECTIN PLUS” PACKAGES WIDELY AVAILABLE FOR TREATMENT OF THE COVID ILLNESS AND THE VAXX-INJURED.”
Cost for a 7-day package would be about ONE DOLLAR!
Typically cures cases of Covid-19 in (less than) one 7-day package.
Helps rid the body of the toxic "vaccines" with several seven-day packages.
I AM ASKING FOR YOUR HELP TO PROMOTE THIS LOW-RISK, HIGH-REWARD SOLUTION TO THE COVID-19 SCAM.
We should ASSUME that every vaxxed person is vaxx-injured, +/-. It may be just a matter of time for them…
WITH THE CORRECT TREATMENT, WE CAN SAVE MILLIONS OF LIVES!
I presented 26Jan2023 to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) “Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee”
There were two conversations – the vaxx-injured want the toxic-and-ineffective Covid-19 vaxxes stopped now; the drug companies and the FDA Committee seemed utterly deaf to those concerns and just want to peddle more ineffective-and-toxic vaccines. Big Pharma owns the FDA.
Here are my slides (augmented). Later, we need Nuremberg 2.0!
Regards, Allan MacRae
https://energy-experts-international.com
THE COVID CON
Allan MacRae, Calgary
CorrectPredictions.ca
VRBPAC
January 26, 2023
Docket No. FDA-2022-N-1608
CHRONOLOGY:
Sept2019 – Took my annual flu shot (for the last time).
Jan 2020 - Studied Covid-19 full-time for 3 years since Jan2020.
29Jan2020 - Cancelled my 4Feb flight to Thailand via China due to early news of Covid-19.
Feb2020 – Identified the Covid-19 “pandemic” as a scam based on credible foreign data.
20Mar2020 – Learned that our Alberta hospitals were EMPTY and decided to publish. The feared "tsunami of Covid patients" never arrived.
21Mar2020 - Published that the Lockdowns were not justified and would be net harmful. No rational, informed person disputes that fact now.
4Oct2020 – Six months later world experts published identical conclusions in their Great Barrington Declaration.
8Jan2021 – Advised my governments to NOT release the dangerous, toxic Covid-19 injections. (My e-friend Reid Sheftall reviewed before sending.) No rational, informed person disputes that fact now.
The most credible senior physicians want to end these toxic injections.
WHY WAS THIS COVID-19 “PANDEMIC” A SCAM?
Data showed the virus was only fatal to the very elderly and infirm – not younger people. The full-population lockdowns were never justified.
No significant “Excess Deaths” in Alberta or Canada in the 12 months ending 1Jul2020. No Excess Deaths means no serious pandemic.
Hype was identical to the Climate (CAGW - Catastrophic Manmade Global Warming) scam.
CAGW scam was proved false in 1990, 2008 & 2013 – CO2 changes LAG temperature changes. "The future cannot cause the past."
The same “usual suspects“ promoted both the Climate and Covid scams and linked them. "To solve Covid must also solve Climate. Woke Nonsense!
More Scams: PCR tests over-run to push false positives; Ivermectin was banned, a criminal act; “Vaccines” caused the variants (Darwin); etc.
Both the Covid-19 Lockdowns and “Vaccines” were ineffective, hugely harmful and too often fatal.
NEXT STEPS NEEDED TO REPAIR THIS DISASTER:
Stop ALL Covid-19 injections immediately; DO NO MORE HARM!
Make available the best medical treatment to reduce harm to the vaxxed;
MAKE INEXPENSIVE, VOLUNTARY, OVER-THE-COUNTER “IVERMECTIN PLUS” PACKAGES WIDELY AVAILABLE FOR TREATMENT OF THE COVID ILLNESS AND THE VAXX-INJURED.
Reinstate and compensate the un-vaxxed who were dismissed from their employment.
Reinstate those who were persecuted because they spoke out against the Covid-19 fraud.
My FDA presentation of Thursday starts here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZjULNuSYfd0&t=21957s
As requested, I am sending a long email within the hour to your yahoo address.
Regards, Allan MacRae in Calgary
SCIENTIFIC COMPETENCE – THE ABILITY TO CORRECTLY PREDICT
Allan MacRae, October 20, 2021. Updated February 5, 2023
“The ability to correctly predict is the best objective measure of scientific and technical competence.”
Our scientific predictions on both Climate and Covid are infinitely more accurate than the mainstream narratives, which have been false and baselessly alarmist to date
Same story in every highly vaxxed country.
Remember when Trump said covid would just go away. In Papua New Guinea, right next to Australia, it virtually has, or has. Jab rates were super low.. Same in a lot of parts of Africa and the Caribbean. If Trump had not developed the jabs, and if Biden had not pushed them, the US would probably have become covid-free a long time ago.
"If Trump had not developed the jabs, and if Biden had not pushed them, the US would probably have become covid-free a long time ago."
Yes, probably Covid would have been gone by Spring 2020 or Spring 2021 due to natural immunity.
I sent this recently to our idiot/corrupt politicians and "bought" media:
"If we had treated COVID-19 like a normal flu with no lockdowns and no “vaccines”, like I recommended in March 2020, the Covid-19 virus would be extinct by now. Humanity would have developed herd immunity, as it has to multitudes of previous viruses and the alleged Covid-19 “crisis” would have ended months ago.
Competent epidemiologists have stated that you NEVER vaccinate into an epidemic, because the vaccines encourage the evolution of the variants – that is basic Darwinian biology. As long as we continue to use the Covid-19 vaccines, the virus will mutate and survive. Neither the Covid-19 lockdowns nor the “vaccines” were ever justified – they were a corrupt public health disaster and the most costly criminal medical malfeasance in human history."
Well said! Truth. 😑
Check out Kyle Beattie at Uni of Alberta. He did the big data analysis of jabs and infections in 145 countries. Everywhere that jabs were rolled out, infections skyrocketed. If you don't catch covid, you can't die from it. In countries that didn't roll out jabs, covid has now almost disappeared or has disappeared.
Link please.
Worldwide Bayesian Causal Impact Analysis of Vaccine Administration on Deaths and Cases Associated with COVID-19: A BigData Analysis of 145 Countries
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/356248984_Worldwide_Bayesian_Causal_Impact_Analysis_of_Vaccine_Administration_on_Deaths_and_Cases_Associated_with_COVID-19_A_BigData_Analysis_of_145_Countries
Thank you Awake - an excellent paper! I shall cite it in my correspondence with our governments and "bought" media. Doubt they will understand it...
Total All-cause Deaths is the best stat to use because much of the rest of the Covid-19 data is misleading and corrupted.
It is more difficult to falsify deaths - it's either a "0" or a "1". [ Be a "1"! ]
Case Numbers, Covid Deaths etc are entirely unreliable and politically manipulated - not to be trusted.
"Worldwide Bayesian Causal Impact Analysis of Vaccine Administration on Deaths and Cases Associated with COVID-19: A BigData Analysis of 145 Countries"
• November 2021
DOI:10.13140/RG.2.2.34214.65605
Authors:
Kyle Beattie University of Alberta
(PDF) Worldwide Bayesian Causal Impact Analysis of Vaccine Administration on Deaths and Cases Associated with COVID-19: A BigData Analysis of 145 Countries (researchgate.net)
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/356248984_Worldwide_Bayesian_Causal_Impact_Analysis_of_Vaccine_Administration_on_Deaths_and_Cases_Associated_with_COVID-19_A_BigData_Analysis_of_145_Countries
[excerpts from Abstract]
After eliminating all results from countries with p > 0.05, there were 128 countries for y1 and 103 countries for y2 to analyze in this fashion, comprising 145 unique countries in total (avg. p < 0.004). Results indicate that the treatment (vaccine administration) has a strong and statistically significant propensity to causally increase the values in either y1 or y2 over and above what would have been expected with no treatment. y1 showed an increase/decrease ratio of (+115/-13), which means 89.84% of statistically significant countries showed an increase in total deaths per million associated with COVID-19 due directly to the causal impact of treatment initiation. y2 showed an increase/decrease ratio of (+105/-16) which means 86.78% of statistically significant countries showed an increase in total cases per million of COVID-19 due directly to the causal impact of treatment initiation. Causal impacts of the treatment on y1 ranges from -19% to +19015% with an average causal impact of +463.13%. Causal impacts of the treatment on y2 ranges from -46% to +12240% with an average causal impact of +260.88%.
…
The statistically significant and overwhelmingly positive causal impact after vaccine deployment on the dependent variables total deaths and total cases per million should be highly worrisome for policy makers. They indicate a marked increase in both COVID-19 related cases and death due directly to a vaccine deployment that was originally sold to the public as the “key to gain back our freedoms.” The effect of vaccines on total cases per million and its low positive association with total vaccinations per hundred signifies a limited impact of vaccines on lowering COVID-19 associated cases. These results should encourage local policy makers to make policy decisions based on data, not narrative, and based on local conditions, not global or national mandates. These results should also encourage policy makers to begin looking for other avenues out of the pandemic aside from mass vaccination campaigns.
It is, in my view, misguided to attribute the evident disasters of lockdowns, masking, 'social' distancing and 'vaccines' to either incompetence or poor judgement. The reasons for all of the above never had anything to do with public health. Lockdowns were imposed to trash the failing economic system. Enforced distancing and social isolation were to stifle interpersonal communication, in an attempt to render government and corporate media the only available sources of information. The purpose of the 'vaccines' is even more sinister: to kill or disable. Once the presence of 'malice aforethought' is accepted as true, the pieces of this ghastly puzzle fall logically, and horrifically, into place.
https://paulspradbery.blogspot.com
No argument here Dr S - I described facts, not motive. No individual or group could be this obtuse, this wrong for this long - there was clear intent to make money and indifference or intent to do harm. Nuremberg 2.0! The same thugs pushed the Covid and Climate scams.
Please see my note to Dr Paul A here. CorrectPredictions.ca
Absolutely correct, Allan. Nuremberg 2.0 is a must.
Thank you Dr S:
Here is a math challenge for you, if you are interested:
Anyone who wants to understand the science that disproves the cargo-cult CAGW hypothesis can read this:
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/01/18/the-climate-feedback-debate/#comment-3668435
Here is the Global Warming Alarmists’ dirty little secret, that they've been trying to hide for 33 years:
The CAGW hypo was proved false by Kuo et al in the journal Nature in 1990, who proved that CO2 changes happen after (lag) temperature changes.... That scientific fact proved that increasing atmospheric CO2 cannot significantly drive temperature, because THE FUTURE CANNOT CAUSE THE PAST.
https://www.nature.com/articles/343709a0
MacRae independently re-discovered this same fact in 2008.
http://icecap.us/images/uploads/CO2vsTMacRae.pdf
Humlum et al independently re-discovered this same fact in 2013.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818112001658
Kuo 1990, MacRae 2008 and Humlum 2013 were all swept under the rug.
More:
THE ABYSMAL FAILURE OF THE GLOBAL WARMING ALARMISTS' PREDICTIVE TRACK RECORD. ”THE LEFT LIES ABOUT EVERYTHING!"
“Rode and Fischbeck, professor of Social & Decision Sciences and Engineering & Public Policy, collected 79 predictions of climate-caused apocalypse going back to the first Earth Day in 1970. With the passage of time, many of these forecasts have since expired; the dates have come and gone uneventfully. In fact, 48 (61%) of the predictions have already expired as of the end of 2020.”
For 60:40 predictions, the odds of being this wrong are 1 in 13 quintillion; for 70:30 predictions, the odds are 1 in 13 septillion. It's not just climate scientists being randomly mistaken - they must have known they were not telling the truth.
https://CorrectPredictions.ca/
SCIENTIFIC COMPETENCE – THE ABILITY TO CORRECTLY PREDICT
Allan MacRae, October 20, 2021. Updated February 5, 2023
“The ability to correctly predict is the best objective measure of scientific and technical competence.”
Our scientific predictions on both Climate and Covid are infinitely more accurate than the mainstream narratives, which have been false and baselessly alarmist to date.
Here is the short version of why the alleged Climate/Global Warming/CAGW crisis is a scam:
This graph is from my 2008 paper:
MacRae, January 2008
http://icecap.us/images/uploads/CO2vsTMacRae.pdf
Look at these stunning correlations:
dCO2/dt vs UAH Lower Troposphere Global Atmospheric Temperature Anomaly
https://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/esrl-co2/from:1979/mean:12/derivative/plot/uah6/from:1979/scale:0.18/offset:0.17
dCO2/dt vs Hadcrut SST3 Global Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly
https://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/esrl-co2/from:1979/mean:12/derivative/plot/hadsst3gl/from:1979/scale:0.6/offset:0.1
dCO2/dt vs Hadcrut SST3 Global Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly, Detrended
https://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/esrl-co2/from:1979/mean:12/derivative/plot/hadsst3gl/from:1979/scale:0.6/offset:0.1/detrend:0.25
I’ve understood this relationship since 2008.
CO2, GLOBAL WARMING, CLIMATE AND ENERGY
by Allan M.R. MacRae, B.A.Sc., M.Eng., June 15, 2019
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/06/15/co2-global-warming-climate-and-energy-2/
Excel: https://wattsupwiththat.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Rev_CO2-Global-Warming-Climate-and-Energy-June2019-FINAL.xlsx
“Global warming alarmism, which falsely assumes that increasing atmospheric CO2 causes catastrophic global warming, is disproved – essentially, it assumes that the future is causing the past.”
dCO2/dt changes ~contemporaneously with temperature changes, but its integral CO2 changes do NOT lead, they LAG temperature changes in time.
The sequence is, from the above paper:
6. The sequence is Nino34 Area SST warms, seawater evaporates, Tropical atmospheric humidity increases, Tropical atmospheric temperature warms, Global atmospheric temperature warms, atmospheric CO2 increases (Figs.6a and 6b).
Other factors such as fossil fuel combustion, deforestation, etc. can also cause significant increases in atmospheric CO2. However, global temperature drives CO2 much more than CO2 drives temperature.
Fig.6a – Nino34 Area SST warms, seawater evaporates, Tropical atmospheric humidity (offset) increases, Tropical atmospheric temperature warms…
Fig.6b …and UAH LT Tropics Atmospheric Temperature leads UAH LT Global Atmospheric Temperature, which leads changes in Atmospheric CO2.
The above sequence is an absolute disproof of the phony CAGW hypothesis, which ASSUMES that atmospheric CO2 drives global temperature - BUT the future (CO2 change) cannot cause the past (Atmospheric Temperature change).
The integral of dCO2/dt is CO2 change and CO2 changes lag temperature changes by ~~9 months in the modern data record.
In 2019 I explained why the lag is ~~9 months – the integral (CO2 change) lags its derivative dCO2/dt by ¼ cycle, and that cycle is the ~~36 month cycle of Pacific oceanic temperature changes.
This observation is an absolute disproof of the CAGW/Climate nonsense. "The future cannot cause the past."
Have a couple people arguing to me this article favors vaccination given authors statements in conclusions about myocarditis from Covid infection. Any help with a counter appreciated.